Syria is in danger of breaking into five parts, Instability increases after civil war and coup

Syria :-Amidst the constant unrest and power struggle in the Middle East, the 13-year-old civil war in Syria recently took a new turn. Know about it
Syria

Syria:-Syria, which is considered a historical country of the Middle East, has been facing civil war, armed rebellion and political instability for the last 13 years. Recently, President Bashar al-Assad was overthrown, after which the discussion of the country’s division into five parts has intensified.

The fall of the Assad regime and the role of external forces
The 53-year-long dominance of the Assad family over Syria is now over. Bashar al-Assad relinquished power peacefully after talks with the rebels. After this, many external forces like America, Russia, Israel, Turkey and Iran have become active in the country.

Russia’s stance
Russia, which has been a long-time ally of Syria, gave refuge to Bashar al-Assad and his family in Moscow on humanitarian grounds. Russia wants Syria’s borders and balance of power to be maintained. However, Russia’s position may weaken due to the ongoing war with Ukraine.

Strategy of America and Israel
The US, which is intervening in Syria on the pretext of action against the Islamic State, is now working on a new strategy. At the same time, Israel has also intensified attacks on Syrian military bases and has captured some areas within the border.

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Influence of rebel groups

Different rebel groups dominate different parts of Syria:

Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF):
This group controls the eastern part of Syria and has the support of America. Its aim is to make Syria secular and democratic.

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS):
This is the new form of Al Nusra Front and controls a large part of central and northern Syria. It has the support of Turkey.

Syrian National Army (SNA):
It occupies northwestern Syria. It also operates with the support of Turkey.

Alawite Forces:
This group is effective in the western coastal areas and is a supporter of the Assad regime. It has the support of Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah group.

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Will parts of Syria be divided?
Given the current situation in Syria, the apprehension has increased that the country may be divided into five parts.

Kurdish group SDF can capture eastern areas.
HTS and other Islamist groups can control central and northern Syria.
Turkey-backed SNA can occupy the northwestern part.
Western coastal areas can remain with Alawite forces.
Israel and America can increase their influence in the southern parts.
Regional and global influence
Turkey: Planning to expand its border in Syria.
Iran: Trying to balance its weakening position.
America and Israel: They can benefit the most from the division of Syria.
Russia: Wants to maintain the balance of power in Syria.

Future challenges
Conflicts between small factions of Syria and interference of external forces can make it very difficult to bring stability in the country. If Syria is divided into five parts, it will be a big threat not only for the citizens there but also for the stability of the entire Middle East.
The current situation in Syria is very complex. Amidst the strategies of external powers and the conflict between rebel groups, it remains to be seen whether Syria will remain united or will actually be divided into five parts.

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